SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
63.72% ( 0.16) | 19.75% ( 0.17) | 16.53% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% ( -1.47) | 38.8% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( -1.56) | 61.12% ( 1.56) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.44% ( -0.39) | 11.56% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.5% ( -0.84) | 36.5% ( 0.85) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -1.29) | 36.66% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -1.33) | 73.45% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.72% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.75% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.53% |
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