SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.46% ( 1.51) | 25.03% ( 0.29) | 41.52% ( -1.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.71% ( -0.83) | 46.29% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.42% ( -0.79) | 68.58% ( 0.78) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.53) | 26.6% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( 0.7) | 61.82% ( -0.7) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -1.2) | 22.24% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -1.83) | 55.68% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.52% |
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