SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
39.44% ( 0.4) | 24.53% ( 0.13) | 36.02% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 59.39% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.65) | 43.51% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.64) | 65.91% ( 0.63) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.08) | 22.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.13) | 55.37% ( 0.12) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.58) | 23.81% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( -0.84) | 57.98% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.02% |
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