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HL
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
L

Hoffenheim
2 - 2
Lyon

Gendrey (47'), Tohumcu (90+6')
Stach (6'), Chaves (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vinicius (66'), Lacazette (90+4')
Mata (10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Lyon
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Lyon

While both sides have had periods of inconsistency this season, Hoffenheim have faced much more difficulty than Lyon in both the Europa League and their respective domestic league, leading us to believe the hosts are the stronger side and will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.83%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawLyon
36.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.63% (0.0040000000000013 0) 41.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 70.61% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)49.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)17.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.76% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.24% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)43.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 36.39%
    Lyon 41.97%
    Draw 21.64%
HoffenheimDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 41.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Nuremberg
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 27 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 6 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Lyon
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Auxerre
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Besiktas
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-4 Lyon
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rangers 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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