SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
43.82% ( -1.82) | 22.49% ( 0.52) | 33.68% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 66.45% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% ( -2.13) | 34.07% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.06% ( -2.45) | 55.94% ( 2.44) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( -1.49) | 16.21% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.3% ( -2.79) | 45.7% ( 2.78) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.33) | 20.69% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( -0.52) | 53.29% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.27)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.68% |
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