SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
39.49% ( 0.31) | 24.27% ( 0.19) | 36.25% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.95) | 42.26% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.95) | 64.66% ( 0.96) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( -0.27) | 21.48% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( -0.41) | 54.51% ( 0.41) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.69) | 23.12% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.02% ( -1.02) | 56.98% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.25% |
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