SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Hoffenheim |
52.6% ( -0.07) | 22.09% ( 0.01) | 25.31% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0) | 37.49% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0) | 59.72% ( -0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.03) | 14.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.68% ( -0.05) | 42.32% ( 0.04) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( 0.04) | 27.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( 0.06) | 63.16% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.31% |
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