SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Telstar |
47.31% ( 0.16) | 23.58% ( 0.01) | 29.11% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( -0.17) | 41.52% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.17) | 63.92% ( 0.17) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0) | 17.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( -0.01) | 48.48% ( 0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.2) | 27.02% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( -0.26) | 62.38% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.11% |
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