Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
Result | ||
Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
52.99% ( -0.37) | 22.6% ( 0.09) | 24.41% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.19% ( -0.13) | 40.81% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.81% ( -0.14) | 63.19% ( 0.13) |
Telstar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.56% ( -0.17) | 15.44% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.71% ( -0.32) | 44.29% ( 0.32) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( 0.15) | 30.11% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( 0.18) | 66.25% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 52.99% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.41% |
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