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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
BUKO Stadion

Telstar
4 - 0
MVV

Turfkruier (18', 65'), Kaandorp (56'), Eddahchouri (73')
Offerhaus (41'), Noslin (49'), El Kachati (68'), Kharchouch (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smeets (48'), Schenk (55')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Jong AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-2 Jong PSV
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
52.99% (-0.37 -0.37) 22.6% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.41% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.19% (-0.134 -0.13)40.81% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-0.137 -0.14)63.19% (0.133 0.13)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.175 -0.17)15.44% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (-0.323 -0.32)44.29% (0.319 0.32)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.15300000000001 0.15)30.11% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.184 0.18)66.25% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 52.99%
    MVV Maastricht 24.41%
    Draw 22.59%
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Jong AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 0-2 Telstar
Monday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-3 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-3 Telstar
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 4-1 Umm Salal
Friday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Telstar 5-3 Noordwijk
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: MVV 3-2 Jong PSV
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 1-1 MVV
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-0 MVV
Monday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-1 Cambuur
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Patro Eisden 1-0 MVV
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Liege 1-1 MVV
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3


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