SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
43.9% ( 0.05) | 23.73% ( -0) | 32.36% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( -0) | 40.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.01) | 63.02% ( 0.01) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.02) | 18.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( 0.03) | 50.23% ( -0.03) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.03) | 24.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -0.04) | 59.01% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.37% |
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