SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Telstar |
56.37% ( -0.01) | 20.66% ( 0) | 22.96% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0) | 33.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.11% ( 0.01) | 54.88% ( -0.01) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.18% ( -0) | 11.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.96% ( -0) | 37.04% ( -0) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0.01) | 27.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% ( 0.01) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.37% 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.38% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.18% 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.77% Total : 22.96% |
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