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E
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
3 - 2
Telstar

Donkor (30'), Fini (42'), Bronkhorst (77')
Zagre (74'), Bakker (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
El Kachati (68'), Hamdaoui (89')
Koswal (25'), Kharchouch (90+6')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Telstar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 0-5 Excelsior
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 4-0 MVV
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawTelstar
56.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 20.66% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.86% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.013000000000005 0.01)62.41% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 56.38%
    Telstar 22.96%
    Draw 20.66%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawTelstar
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.37%
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.18%
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 22.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 0-5 Excelsior
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Excelsior
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-1 De Graafschap
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Oss 3-1 Excelsior
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Zulte 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heracles 1-2 Excelsior
Friday, July 26 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Telstar 4-0 MVV
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Jong AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 0-2 Telstar
Monday, August 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-3 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-3 Telstar
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 4-1 Umm Salal
Friday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3


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