Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
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