SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Telstar |
46.7% ( 0.24) | 24.88% ( -0.13) | 28.42% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.51) | 47.81% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.47) | 70% ( -0.47) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( 0.32) | 20.52% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( 0.5) | 53.02% ( -0.49) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.19) | 30.72% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( 0.22) | 66.98% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 28.42% |
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