SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Vitesse |
44.8% ( 0.28) | 22.63% ( 0.29) | 32.57% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 65.48% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( -1.69) | 35.16% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( -1.9) | 57.16% ( 1.89) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( -0.56) | 16.26% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.19% ( -1.02) | 45.8% ( 1.01) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -1.11) | 21.8% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -1.71) | 55.01% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.42)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.7% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.5% Total : 32.57% |
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