SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
24.83% ( 0.05) | 23.78% ( 0.03) | 51.38% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( -0.07) | 45.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( -0.07) | 68.02% ( 0.07) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0) | 32.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0) | 68.91% ( -0) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.06) | 17.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.47% ( -0.1) | 48.53% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.38% |
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