SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Roda JC |
46.87% ( -0.62) | 24.1% ( -0.02) | 29.03% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.99% ( 0.5) | 44.01% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( 0.49) | 66.39% ( -0.49) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.06) | 18.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% ( -0.09) | 50.43% ( 0.09) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.71) | 28.34% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( 0.89) | 64.07% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
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