SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
52.3% ( -0.37) | 21.79% ( 0.14) | 25.91% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.67% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( -0.43) | 35.5% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.48) | 57.54% ( 0.48) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( -0.26) | 13.81% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.85% ( -0.53) | 41.15% ( 0.53) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.05) | 26.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( -0.07) | 61.19% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.91% |
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