Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.