Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
