Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.