Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
