Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
