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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Oct 2, 2020 at 8pm UK
 

NAC Breda
4 - 0
Jong Ajax

van Hooijdonk (9' pen., 32', 74'), Venema (78')
Rosler (61'), Malone (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Douglas (8'), Brobbey (53')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawJong Ajax
50.44%22.17%27.39%
Both teams to score 63.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95%36.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85%58.15%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39%14.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3%42.7%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61%25.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81%60.19%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 50.44%
    Jong Ajax 27.39%
    Draw 22.17%
NAC BredaDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 6.86%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 4.14%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.12%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.71%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 1.59%
1-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.39%


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