Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
