Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
