Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
