Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
Result | ||
De Graafschap | Draw | TOP Oss |
65.27% ( -0.2) | 19.84% ( 0.05) | 14.88% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 0.11) | 42.55% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( 0.11) | 64.95% ( -0.11) |
De Graafschap Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.76% ( -0.02) | 12.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.04% ( -0.05) | 37.95% ( 0.05) |
TOP Oss Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.91% ( 0.28) | 41.08% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( 0.25) | 77.63% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
De Graafschap | Draw | TOP Oss |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.84% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.88% |
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