Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
