Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
