SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Heracles |
34.94% ( 0.44) | 25.84% ( 0.6) | 39.21% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -2.58) | 49.6% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -2.36) | 71.62% ( 2.36) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( -0.97) | 27.28% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% ( -1.27) | 62.72% ( 1.27) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -1.69) | 24.87% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( -2.42) | 59.48% ( 2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.94% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.21% |
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