Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 46%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
1.42) 
-1.81) 
