SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Helmond Sport |
73.32% ( -0.1) | 16.06% ( 0.03) | 10.62% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0.1) | 35.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.11) | 57.43% ( -0.11) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.68% ( 0) | 8.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.99% ( 0.01) | 29.01% ( -0.01) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.21) | 43.13% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.6% ( 0.17) | 79.4% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 73.32% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.06% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.62% |
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