Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.03) 
