Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
