Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.