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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
3 - 1
Jong Utrecht

Unuvar (25', 77'), Douglas (88')
Unuvar (34'), Warmerdam (66'), Llansana (71'), Douglas (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balk (12')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Jong FC Utrecht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawJong FC Utrecht
49.23%22.22%28.56%
Both teams to score 64.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63%35.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6%57.41%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24%14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99%43.02%
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36%58.64%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 49.23%
    Jong FC Utrecht 28.56%
    Draw 22.22%
Jong AjaxDrawJong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 3.59%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.56%

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