Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
