Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 43%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
