Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 70.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.