SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
49.05% ( 1.11) | 24.36% ( -0.34) | 26.58% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.93) | 46.79% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.87) | 69.05% ( -0.86) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.82) | 19.13% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 1.34) | 50.78% ( -1.34) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( -0.1) | 31.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% ( -0.11) | 67.98% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.58% |
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