Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

Jong AZ
3 - 1
Dordrecht

Reverson (52'), Engel (61'), Allouch (63')
Lathouwers (22'), Allouch (45+1'), Kwakman (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Longo (4')
van den Avert (47'), Schippers (82')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Dordrecht
61.83% ( 0.16)	20.29% ( -0.03)	17.88% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.99% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

-0.06)

38.88% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79% (

-0.06)

61.2% (

0.05)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.03)

12.1% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.06)

37.64% (

-0.06)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.17)

35.16% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.18)

71.91% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 61.83%

Dordrecht 17.88%

Draw 20.29%

Jong AZ	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 61.83%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 17.88%