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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
4 - 1
Jong Ajax

Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), van Bommel (85')
Dzepar (56'), Remans (64'), Kostons (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Misehouy (53')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-0 MVV
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 3-1 NAC Breda
Monday, September 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
32.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 24.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 43.1% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.41% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)43.11% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (-0.155 -0.16)65.51% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)25.57% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)60.44% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)20.17% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.16 -0.16)52.46% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 32.63%
    Jong Ajax 43.1%
    Draw 24.28%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 43.1%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 5-0 MVV
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-1 Roda JC
Sunday, September 4 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-1 ADO Den Haag
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-1 NAC Breda
Monday, August 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-1 MVV
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 3-1 NAC Breda
Monday, September 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Oss 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Monday, September 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 5-1 De Graafschap
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 1-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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