Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
