Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.