Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.