SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Den Bosch |
79.68% ( 0.2) | 13.73% ( -0.01) | 6.59% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.26% ( -0.76) | 38.74% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.81) | 61.05% ( 0.81) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.12) | 7.71% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.52% ( -0.32) | 27.48% ( 0.32) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.25% ( -1.08) | 54.75% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.27% ( -0.66) | 87.73% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 79.68% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.48% Total : 13.73% | 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.59% |
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