Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.
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