SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
43.8% ( -0.58) | 25.21% ( 0.16) | 30.99% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% ( -0.54) | 47.94% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( -0.5) | 70.12% ( 0.5) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.49) | 21.87% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.75) | 55.12% ( 0.76) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.01) | 28.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( 0.01) | 64.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.99% |
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