SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Jong AZ |
58.66% ( -0.42) | 21.07% ( 0.17) | 20.27% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.45) | 38.72% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.48) | 61.03% ( 0.46) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( -0.27) | 12.95% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.57% ( -0.54) | 39.42% ( 0.54) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.02) | 32.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( -0.02) | 69.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.7% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.27% |
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