Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Emmen |
25.94% ( 1.28) | 24.07% ( 0.18) | 49.99% ( -1.46) |
Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% ( 0.31) | 46.02% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( 0.29) | 68.33% ( -0.3) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( 1.21) | 31.68% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.9% ( 1.38) | 68.09% ( -1.38) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.54% ( -0.45) | 18.46% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.35% ( -0.76) | 49.65% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 49.99% |
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