Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.